Race 3B

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kyle Easton 42.2% 25.6% 17.9% 8.2% 3.6% 1.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Johnsen 13.1% 16.7% 18.2% 16.8% 14.7% 9.8% 7.5% 2.1% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Phillip Schofield 19.9% 22.3% 17.9% 18.0% 11.7% 6.1% 2.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Balanevsky 5.7% 8.6% 11.5% 13.5% 15.0% 16.3% 13.7% 7.8% 4.7% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Cameron Wallace 4.8% 8.6% 9.7% 12.9% 13.7% 15.8% 13.9% 10.2% 6.9% 3.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Samuel Parsons 1.6% 1.6% 2.5% 4.9% 5.0% 6.9% 9.4% 14.1% 22.0% 18.3% 11.1% 2.6%
Antonia Leggett 2.5% 2.7% 4.1% 4.2% 8.0% 8.1% 12.6% 16.9% 17.3% 13.7% 7.9% 2.0%
Clara Guarascio 2.5% 5.1% 6.0% 5.5% 9.5% 10.3% 14.5% 17.8% 13.9% 11.2% 2.8% 0.9%
Galen Ng 0.3% 0.7% 1.1% 0.6% 1.7% 2.6% 4.0% 7.8% 10.7% 18.8% 33.3% 18.4%
Martino An 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.4% 0.9% 2.1% 2.6% 2.2% 3.8% 8.5% 17.0% 62.0%
Charlotte Smith 1.2% 0.8% 1.5% 1.5% 1.9% 4.2% 4.9% 7.9% 14.4% 21.5% 26.2% 14.0%
Jack Carminati 6.0% 7.3% 9.3% 13.5% 14.3% 16.7% 12.9% 11.9% 5.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.