Race 4B

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Phillip Schofield 18.9% 22.0% 21.0% 16.7% 10.6% 4.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Easton 40.8% 30.8% 14.9% 7.0% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Wallace 5.9% 6.3% 10.0% 12.5% 12.9% 15.9% 16.5% 11.1% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Sam Johnsen 12.4% 16.5% 19.1% 18.1% 14.6% 9.9% 5.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Max Balanevsky 7.2% 8.1% 11.9% 11.5% 16.5% 15.6% 13.1% 8.4% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Samuel Parsons 1.5% 1.7% 2.7% 4.3% 5.6% 6.8% 9.3% 14.0% 20.3% 19.5% 11.0% 3.3%
Charlotte Smith 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 2.0% 3.6% 3.9% 5.6% 9.8% 12.0% 21.3% 26.2% 12.2%
Antonia Leggett 1.9% 2.6% 4.0% 5.9% 6.3% 8.6% 11.9% 16.0% 18.6% 14.6% 7.8% 1.8%
Galen Ng 0.4% 1.1% 0.8% 0.6% 1.8% 2.2% 4.5% 7.3% 10.3% 19.0% 32.6% 19.4%
Martino An 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 1.3% 2.2% 1.4% 2.5% 3.5% 9.6% 16.0% 62.4%
Clara Guarascio 2.6% 3.2% 4.6% 5.8% 8.6% 12.1% 13.2% 18.7% 16.9% 9.1% 4.4% 0.8%
Jack Carminati 7.3% 6.2% 9.7% 15.0% 13.3% 16.6% 14.5% 8.3% 6.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.