Race 5B

ny-maritime-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kyle Easton 39.5% 28.6% 17.4% 8.2% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Phillip Schofield 18.7% 22.0% 20.4% 15.5% 11.4% 7.4% 3.3% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 7.0% 7.4% 10.4% 10.7% 16.3% 14.4% 16.0% 11.7% 4.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Cameron Wallace 4.5% 7.1% 9.6% 14.6% 13.9% 15.4% 14.2% 11.3% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Samuel Parsons 1.1% 2.3% 2.3% 4.6% 5.2% 8.0% 8.8% 13.8% 18.7% 19.3% 12.2% 3.7%
Sam Johnsen 14.6% 16.4% 16.4% 17.5% 15.0% 9.8% 7.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 3.5% 3.8% 4.7% 7.3% 9.5% 10.5% 14.8% 16.2% 16.0% 8.5% 3.9% 1.3%
Max Balanevsky 7.4% 8.4% 11.8% 13.5% 15.0% 16.6% 12.0% 7.7% 5.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Charlotte Smith 0.7% 0.8% 1.1% 1.4% 2.5% 3.4% 5.2% 11.3% 14.2% 24.6% 24.9% 9.9%
Antonia Leggett 1.8% 2.1% 4.6% 5.1% 6.0% 10.0% 11.3% 16.9% 18.4% 16.5% 6.0% 1.3%
Galen Ng 0.9% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0% 1.3% 1.9% 5.1% 4.6% 11.5% 18.4% 31.6% 22.2%
Martino An 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.8% 1.6% 3.2% 4.4% 6.8% 19.6% 61.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.