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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.57+3.03vs Predicted
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20.64+4.94vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.12+5.30vs Predicted
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4George Washington University0.47+3.31vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+1.61vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University-0.17+3.82vs Predicted
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7Stanford University1.00-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.47-0.76vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.49-1.43vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-1.65vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.01-5.15vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.83-5.46vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-2.44vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-1.62-0.79vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College-1.05-2.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Yale University1.5719.1%1st Place
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6.940.647.2%1st Place
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8.3University of Rhode Island0.125.1%1st Place
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7.31George Washington University0.477.9%1st Place
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6.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.688.2%1st Place
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9.82Northeastern University-0.172.8%1st Place
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5.66Stanford University1.0011.3%1st Place
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7.24University of Hawaii0.476.3%1st Place
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7.57Roger Williams University0.495.7%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.184.7%1st Place
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5.85Brown University1.019.7%1st Place
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6.54University of South Florida0.837.6%1st Place
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10.56Maine Maritime Academy-0.482.0%1st Place
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13.21Princeton University-1.620.7%1st Place
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12.02Connecticut College-1.051.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 19.1% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lola Kohl | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Hayden Clary | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 6.4% |
| Ava Cornell | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Malia Johnson | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Meara Conley | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Sidney Moyer | 9.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Grace Jones | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Simone Ford | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.5% | 16.0% | 10.1% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 19.3% | 48.9% |
| Viola Henry | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 13.4% | 23.7% | 25.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.