Race 6B

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Phillip Schofield 18.4% 22.3% 23.5% 14.4% 11.1% 6.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Johnsen 13.4% 16.6% 18.0% 18.3% 13.1% 9.0% 7.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Balanevsky 7.7% 8.5% 9.3% 14.6% 14.5% 14.9% 14.4% 9.5% 4.2% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Cameron Wallace 4.6% 7.0% 11.5% 12.3% 14.8% 14.1% 12.4% 13.2% 6.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 5.7% 8.5% 10.8% 12.7% 13.9% 16.9% 13.3% 9.5% 4.8% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Kyle Easton 42.7% 26.8% 14.8% 8.7% 4.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 2.9% 4.5% 4.7% 7.0% 9.5% 11.5% 14.0% 16.3% 14.2% 9.8% 4.8% 0.8%
Galen Ng 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 1.6% 2.7% 3.2% 4.1% 6.6% 10.0% 16.3% 32.4% 21.4%
Samuel Parsons 1.3% 1.7% 2.5% 3.3% 4.7% 7.7% 12.2% 14.6% 22.1% 17.6% 10.8% 1.5%
Charlotte Smith 0.7% 0.6% 1.4% 3.0% 3.4% 4.1% 4.6% 9.2% 13.3% 24.4% 24.5% 10.8%
Antonia Leggett 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 3.8% 6.8% 9.7% 12.6% 14.2% 20.1% 14.7% 9.0% 2.3%
Martino An 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.6% 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% 3.6% 8.7% 17.2% 63.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.