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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+2.19vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17+0.12vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.35+2.12vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.07-0.18vs Predicted
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5Queen's University1.19+0.49vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College0.49+0.92vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.14+0.58vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy1.29-2.79vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-0.92vs Predicted
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10-1.18-0.09vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.81-1.55vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-2.09-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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2.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.4%1st Place
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5.12Fordham University1.350.1%1st Place
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3.82Fordham University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.49Queen's University1.190.1%1st Place
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6.92SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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7.58Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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5.21U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.91-1.180.0%1st Place
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9.45Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Military Academy-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Schofield | 18.4% | 23.0% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 11.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 41.2% | 29.0% | 14.9% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Balanevsky | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 15.0% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Johnsen | 11.6% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 16.5% | 15.6% | 9.7% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wallace | 6.6% | 5.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 16.3% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Antonia Leggett | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 17.6% | 15.4% | 7.8% | 1.9% |
| Jack Carminati | 7.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Parsons | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.0% | 17.5% | 18.0% | 20.0% | 10.3% | 1.4% |
| Galen Ng | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 33.1% | 20.5% |
| Charlotte Smith | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 14.3% | 23.7% | 24.5% | 13.5% |
| Martino An | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 19.3% | 62.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.