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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Phillip Schofield 18.4% 23.0% 19.0% 17.6% 11.4% 5.7% 3.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Easton 41.2% 29.0% 14.9% 8.5% 4.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Balanevsky 7.6% 7.5% 11.3% 12.1% 15.0% 16.6% 14.3% 8.9% 5.4% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Johnsen 11.6% 16.9% 19.8% 16.5% 15.6% 9.7% 5.6% 2.8% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Wallace 6.6% 5.4% 10.4% 11.6% 14.4% 16.5% 13.7% 10.6% 7.0% 2.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 2.4% 3.7% 5.2% 6.3% 9.7% 11.0% 16.3% 15.5% 15.0% 11.1% 3.2% 0.6%
Antonia Leggett 2.1% 2.8% 4.7% 4.1% 5.6% 10.0% 12.7% 15.3% 17.6% 15.4% 7.8% 1.9%
Jack Carminati 7.0% 8.6% 10.4% 14.5% 12.8% 14.2% 13.6% 10.6% 6.0% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Samuel Parsons 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 4.0% 5.8% 7.3% 11.0% 17.5% 18.0% 20.0% 10.3% 1.4%
Galen Ng 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 2.3% 2.4% 2.4% 3.4% 6.3% 11.5% 16.3% 33.1% 20.5%
Charlotte Smith 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.7% 1.9% 4.0% 4.7% 8.5% 14.3% 23.7% 24.5% 13.5%
Martino An 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 0.5% 1.7% 1.1% 2.5% 3.5% 7.8% 19.3% 62.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.