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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.43+2.19vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.07+1.81vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.17-0.84vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.35+1.16vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College0.49+1.93vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.29-0.69vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.14+0.55vs Predicted
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8Queen's University1.19-2.60vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.12-0.96vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-0.81-0.69vs Predicted
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11-1.18-0.97vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy-2.09-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19Cornell University2.430.2%1st Place
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3.81Fordham University2.070.1%1st Place
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2.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.170.4%1st Place
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5.16Fordham University1.350.1%1st Place
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6.93SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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5.31U. S. Naval Academy1.290.1%1st Place
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7.55Columbia University0.140.0%1st Place
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5.4Queen's University1.190.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.31Syracuse University-0.810.0%1st Place
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10.03-1.180.0%1st Place
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11.11U. S. Military Academy-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillip Schofield | 19.2% | 20.7% | 21.7% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Johnsen | 12.3% | 17.7% | 18.0% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Easton | 41.5% | 27.0% | 15.6% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Balanevsky | 5.8% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 4.4% | 0.3% |
| Jack Carminati | 6.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Antonia Leggett | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 19.8% | 13.5% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Cameron Wallace | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Parsons | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 10.2% | 1.4% |
| Charlotte Smith | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 22.9% | 25.3% | 11.0% |
| Galen Ng | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 19.3% | 31.8% | 22.7% |
| Martino An | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 19.6% | 62.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.