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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Phillip Schofield 19.2% 20.7% 21.7% 16.1% 11.6% 6.3% 3.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Johnsen 12.3% 17.7% 18.0% 16.9% 14.4% 10.2% 6.1% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Easton 41.5% 27.0% 15.6% 8.8% 4.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Balanevsky 5.8% 8.3% 11.4% 13.8% 14.9% 15.8% 14.4% 8.4% 5.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 2.6% 3.8% 4.6% 7.1% 9.8% 10.3% 14.7% 17.7% 13.4% 11.3% 4.4% 0.3%
Jack Carminati 6.1% 8.1% 10.5% 12.2% 15.4% 13.9% 14.9% 10.0% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Antonia Leggett 2.2% 3.2% 3.3% 5.7% 5.3% 10.6% 10.6% 16.5% 19.8% 13.5% 7.0% 2.3%
Cameron Wallace 7.0% 7.1% 10.0% 12.7% 12.9% 14.9% 13.4% 11.4% 8.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Samuel Parsons 1.6% 1.8% 2.3% 3.2% 5.1% 9.5% 10.6% 15.2% 19.4% 19.7% 10.2% 1.4%
Charlotte Smith 0.7% 0.9% 1.5% 2.0% 3.5% 3.6% 5.9% 8.4% 14.3% 22.9% 25.3% 11.0%
Galen Ng 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.1% 1.4% 2.1% 4.4% 5.5% 9.3% 19.3% 31.8% 22.7%
Martino An 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 3.5% 7.3% 19.6% 62.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.