Race 9B

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Phillip Schofield 18.9% 20.3% 21.8% 15.9% 12.1% 6.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Johnsen 12.7% 17.6% 18.2% 17.5% 13.0% 9.2% 7.9% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Kyle Easton 40.6% 28.0% 17.0% 9.1% 3.5% 1.4% 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 2.1% 2.9% 5.3% 7.3% 8.7% 12.0% 15.3% 16.9% 13.8% 10.8% 4.1% 0.8%
Antonia Leggett 1.9% 2.4% 3.8% 4.1% 7.1% 9.6% 12.6% 15.3% 18.5% 15.6% 7.4% 1.7%
Charlotte Smith 0.9% 1.1% 1.0% 1.4% 3.4% 3.4% 5.7% 9.1% 14.0% 22.8% 26.3% 10.9%
Max Balanevsky 7.6% 9.8% 10.3% 13.1% 14.2% 16.0% 13.7% 9.2% 3.7% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 7.8% 8.8% 10.4% 12.3% 13.7% 15.9% 12.3% 10.2% 5.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Samuel Parsons 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 3.4% 6.2% 8.2% 10.7% 15.8% 20.1% 16.8% 11.2% 2.1%
Galen Ng 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 2.0% 3.0% 2.4% 3.0% 5.6% 11.2% 18.0% 33.4% 19.7%
Martino An 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 2.2% 4.1% 8.5% 16.0% 64.6%
Cameron Wallace 5.1% 6.7% 8.5% 13.4% 14.4% 14.8% 14.5% 11.2% 7.8% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.