Race 10B

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kyle Easton 41.7% 26.8% 16.7% 8.7% 3.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Johnsen 12.6% 16.9% 19.0% 16.5% 14.9% 10.3% 6.2% 2.4% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 3.3% 3.6% 3.9% 7.1% 8.7% 11.6% 14.9% 17.7% 15.5% 10.3% 2.9% 0.5%
Samuel Parsons 1.0% 2.2% 2.5% 2.7% 5.2% 7.5% 12.3% 14.3% 19.0% 18.8% 12.0% 2.5%
Phillip Schofield 19.7% 21.3% 20.0% 15.9% 10.3% 7.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 5.7% 8.6% 10.5% 12.3% 14.6% 16.0% 13.3% 11.3% 4.9% 2.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Cameron Wallace 6.3% 7.6% 8.7% 12.0% 14.5% 15.6% 13.9% 12.4% 6.0% 2.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Antonia Leggett 1.7% 2.7% 4.6% 5.3% 6.8% 8.0% 12.9% 14.9% 20.7% 13.9% 6.8% 1.7%
Max Balanevsky 6.0% 8.5% 11.2% 15.7% 15.5% 15.8% 13.3% 7.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Charlotte Smith 0.7% 1.0% 1.4% 2.5% 3.1% 3.0% 4.8% 10.2% 12.1% 25.6% 24.5% 11.1%
Galen Ng 1.0% 0.5% 1.0% 0.9% 1.5% 2.2% 3.8% 4.9% 11.5% 18.0% 32.7% 22.0%
Martino An 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.2% 0.5% 1.0% 2.7% 4.3% 7.0% 19.7% 62.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.