Race 11B

ny-maritime-fall-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Phillip Schofield 19.1% 21.4% 20.0% 16.7% 11.6% 6.4% 2.9% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 2.4% 2.8% 4.8% 6.6% 8.4% 12.4% 15.4% 18.9% 14.4% 10.0% 3.1% 0.8%
Kyle Easton 42.6% 26.6% 15.7% 8.3% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Balanevsky 5.6% 8.0% 11.4% 13.5% 14.4% 16.8% 15.0% 8.1% 4.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Jack Carminati 5.9% 8.3% 10.3% 13.2% 16.2% 14.3% 12.5% 10.2% 6.3% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Antonia Leggett 2.0% 1.8% 3.3% 5.2% 6.7% 9.0% 11.7% 15.9% 19.5% 16.9% 6.5% 1.5%
Cameron Wallace 5.7% 7.5% 10.3% 12.5% 13.5% 15.9% 12.3% 12.6% 6.1% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Charlotte Smith 0.5% 0.5% 1.8% 1.8% 4.2% 3.5% 6.3% 8.1% 14.8% 21.1% 27.0% 10.4%
Sam Johnsen 12.8% 20.5% 18.2% 16.1% 12.8% 10.3% 6.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Parsons 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 4.3% 4.5% 6.9% 11.0% 14.4% 19.8% 18.8% 10.2% 3.0%
Martino An 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.8% 1.8% 3.9% 7.7% 17.8% 63.8%
Galen Ng 0.7% 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 2.5% 1.9% 4.3% 6.0% 10.3% 17.5% 34.0% 20.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.