Race 12B

ny-maritime-fall-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kyle Easton 39.9% 29.2% 16.9% 7.7% 4.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Balanevsky 5.4% 9.7% 10.8% 14.3% 14.9% 14.6% 14.9% 8.5% 5.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Phillip Schofield 21.2% 19.7% 18.8% 16.3% 12.0% 7.8% 3.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sam Johnsen 12.4% 16.9% 19.2% 18.4% 13.1% 11.4% 4.7% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Clara Guarascio 2.1% 4.2% 5.0% 6.5% 8.9% 11.9% 14.6% 16.6% 14.9% 10.6% 4.2% 0.5%
Antonia Leggett 2.2% 1.9% 2.7% 6.1% 7.3% 8.0% 12.3% 16.1% 18.5% 15.8% 7.9% 1.2%
Jack Carminati 6.8% 7.2% 12.2% 11.7% 14.7% 14.8% 15.6% 9.0% 5.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Cameron Wallace 6.8% 7.8% 9.2% 11.5% 13.4% 14.4% 14.6% 12.4% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0%
Samuel Parsons 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 3.2% 5.7% 7.8% 10.9% 17.8% 18.1% 19.3% 9.2% 2.6%
Charlotte Smith 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 2.8% 2.6% 3.6% 4.7% 8.3% 14.9% 21.9% 26.6% 11.3%
Martino An 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 4.9% 8.6% 15.6% 64.4%
Galen Ng 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.0% 2.5% 3.2% 2.7% 5.9% 10.2% 17.9% 34.8% 19.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.