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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+5.31vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.60+5.35vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.05+6.55vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39+7.65vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.14+0.21vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.43+1.84vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+1.05vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.40-0.12vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.81-2.73vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.50-2.25vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.64+0.06vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.05-2.32vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.76-2.66vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.95-4.62vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.44-0.25vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.09-6.77vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.820.00vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.39-6.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.35Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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11.65Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.21Harvard University3.140.2%1st Place
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7.84Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.75Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.06Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.68Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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10.34Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.38Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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14.75McGill University0.440.0%1st Place
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9.23Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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17.0Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.68Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Collin Alexander | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 2.7% |
| Henry Marshall | 15.4% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dane Pedersen | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Talia Toland | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Robert Hunter | 9.6% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Rowan Byrne | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| William Bedford | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Livia Kelly | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 8.9% | 13.2% | 32.8% | 17.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Camille Britton | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 12.0% | 72.4% |
| Caroline King | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.