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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.40+7.08vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.64+9.17vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+9.03vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.81+2.38vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.05+4.23vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.50+1.55vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.14-1.72vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.05+1.19vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95+0.64vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.76+0.68vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-2.81vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.89-5.65vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.60-5.97vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.43-6.45vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.09-5.90vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-4.11vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.44-2.16vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.82-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.08Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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11.17Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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12.03Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.38Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.23Connecticut College2.050.1%1st Place
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7.55Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.28Harvard University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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9.64Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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10.68Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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8.19University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.35Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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7.55Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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9.1Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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11.89Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.84McGill University0.440.0%1st Place
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16.84Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Toland | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 3.9% |
| Robert Hunter | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Tucker Weed | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Henry Marshall | 13.3% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| William Bedford | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% |
| Rowan Byrne | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Collin Alexander | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dane Pedersen | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Caroline King | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 3.2% |
| Livia Kelly | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 13.1% | 35.3% | 17.2% |
| Camille Britton | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 12.6% | 70.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.