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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.81+5.58vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.05+7.55vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.05+6.51vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+3.81vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.14+0.23vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.60+1.20vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.95+2.68vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.43-0.23vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.89-3.00vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.09-0.56vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39+0.98vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.50-4.18vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.36-5.03vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-2.45vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.64-4.14vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.44-1.17vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.82-0.02vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College1.76-7.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.55Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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5.23Harvard University3.140.2%1st Place
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7.2Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.68Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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7.77Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.0Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.44Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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11.98Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.82Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.97University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.86Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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14.83McGill University0.440.0%1st Place
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16.98Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.24Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 9.1% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Colin Richards | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Talia Toland | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Henry Marshall | 16.1% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Collin Alexander | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Dane Pedersen | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Belda | 9.6% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Caroline King | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 15.5% | 12.3% | 3.4% |
| Tucker Weed | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Parker Colantuono | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 2.4% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
| Livia Kelly | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 35.2% | 16.5% |
| Camille Britton | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 12.5% | 71.9% |
| Rowan Byrne | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.