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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.57+3.16vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.83+4.59vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.12+5.44vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+4.28vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.00+0.73vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.49+1.67vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy-0.48+3.55vs Predicted
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80.64-1.24vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68-2.35vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University-0.17-0.11vs Predicted
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11George Washington University0.47-3.68vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College-1.05-0.17vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii0.47-5.82vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.01-8.02vs Predicted
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15Princeton University-1.62-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16Yale University1.5718.0%1st Place
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6.59University of South Florida0.837.6%1st Place
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8.44University of Rhode Island0.124.5%1st Place
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8.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.185.9%1st Place
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5.73Stanford University1.0011.9%1st Place
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7.67Roger Williams University0.495.8%1st Place
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10.55Maine Maritime Academy-0.482.1%1st Place
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6.760.647.6%1st Place
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6.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.688.3%1st Place
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9.89Northeastern University-0.172.6%1st Place
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7.32George Washington University0.477.0%1st Place
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11.83Connecticut College-1.051.8%1st Place
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7.18University of Hawaii0.476.8%1st Place
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5.98Brown University1.019.2%1st Place
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12.96Princeton University-1.620.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 18.0% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Meara Conley | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| Ava Cornell | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Simone Ford | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 10.1% |
| Lola Kohl | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 6.9% |
| Hayden Clary | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Viola Henry | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 21.2% | 25.4% |
| Malia Johnson | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Sidney Moyer | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 18.4% | 47.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.