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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.89+5.29vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.05+7.54vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.50+4.72vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.14+1.24vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.81+1.36vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.05+3.35vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.43+0.82vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39+3.72vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.60-1.92vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.40-1.86vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-2.79vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.64-0.78vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.95-3.54vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.76-3.84vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.09-5.91vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-4.07vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.44-2.17vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.82-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.54University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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7.72Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.24Harvard University3.140.1%1st Place
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6.36Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.35Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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7.82Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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11.72Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.08Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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8.14Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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11.22Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.46Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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10.16Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.09Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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11.93Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.83McGill University0.440.0%1st Place
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16.85Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Belda | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Tucker Weed | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Marshall | 14.9% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 10.1% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Dane Pedersen | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 2.3% |
| Collin Alexander | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Victoria Pajak | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 2.3% |
| William Bedford | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Rowan Byrne | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Caroline King | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 3.7% |
| Livia Kelly | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 35.5% | 17.3% |
| Camille Britton | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 12.0% | 70.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.