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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.50+6.72vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.81+4.52vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+9.01vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.14+1.22vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39+6.67vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.05+3.27vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+1.06vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.89-1.94vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.95+0.72vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.09-0.61vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.43-3.00vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.76-1.24vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.60-5.94vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.05-5.00vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.40-7.12vs Predicted
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16Wesleyan University-0.82+0.97vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.64-5.92vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.44-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.72Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.52Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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12.01Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University3.140.2%1st Place
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11.67Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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8.06University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.06Brown University2.890.1%1st Place
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9.72Connecticut College1.950.0%1st Place
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9.39Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University2.430.1%1st Place
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10.76Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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7.06Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College2.050.1%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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16.97Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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14.61McGill University0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker Weed | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 2.6% |
| Henry Marshall | 15.5% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 3.2% |
| Colin Richards | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Belda | 10.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Bedford | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Dane Pedersen | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Rowan Byrne | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 1.2% |
| Collin Alexander | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Camille Britton | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 11.1% | 73.8% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 2.1% |
| Livia Kelly | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 14.3% | 32.6% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.