← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College2.81+5.40vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.36+6.04vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.40+4.84vs Predicted
-
4Brown University2.20+4.33vs Predicted
-
5Brown University2.50+2.21vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.14-0.99vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.39+4.56vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.05+0.89vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.49-1.79vs Predicted
-
10Bowdoin College1.76+0.38vs Predicted
-
11Boston University2.60-3.97vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.64-1.03vs Predicted
-
13McGill University0.44+1.42vs Predicted
-
14Yale University2.09-5.38vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.39-3.47vs Predicted
-
16Wesleyan University-0.82+0.90vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College1.37-5.19vs Predicted
-
18Connecticut College2.05-9.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.4Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
-
8.04University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
7.84Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
8.33Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
-
7.21Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
-
5.01Harvard University3.140.1%1st Place
-
11.56Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
8.89University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
-
7.21Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
-
10.38Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
-
7.03Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
-
10.97Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
-
14.42McGill University0.440.0%1st Place
-
8.62Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
-
11.53Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
16.9Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
-
11.81Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
-
8.85Connecticut College2.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Hunter | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Talia Toland | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Marshall | 15.0% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 2.5% |
| Colin Richards | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Grant Gridley | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rowan Byrne | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 1.0% |
| Collin Alexander | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Livia Kelly | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 13.8% | 30.6% | 15.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline King | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 2.2% |
| Camille Britton | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 10.6% | 72.5% |
| William O'Leary | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 3.9% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.