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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.05+8.24vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.50+5.45vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.37+8.82vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.76+6.02vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.14+0.04vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.81+0.09vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+4.55vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.05+0.87vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.64+1.55vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.09-0.87vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.49-3.58vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-3.84vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.20-4.70vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.40-6.59vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-3.48vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.60-9.06vs Predicted
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17McGill University0.44-2.29vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.82-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.24Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.82Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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10.02Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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5.04Harvard University3.140.2%1st Place
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6.09Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.55Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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10.55Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.13Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.16University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.3Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.41Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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11.52Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.94Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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14.71McGill University0.440.0%1st Place
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16.81Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Tucker Weed | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William O'Leary | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Rowan Byrne | 4.2% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Henry Marshall | 16.3% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 10.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 2.6% |
| Colin Richards | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 1.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Talia Toland | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 2.2% |
| Collin Alexander | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Livia Kelly | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 34.1% | 16.7% |
| Camille Britton | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 12.7% | 70.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.