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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.05+8.18vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.36+5.97vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.81+3.28vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.39+7.37vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.05+3.96vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.50+1.25vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.40+0.62vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.14-3.05vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.20-0.61vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.60-2.85vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.64-0.27vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.09-2.74vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39-1.58vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.37-2.68vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College1.76-4.87vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.44-1.32vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.49-9.48vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.82-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.18University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.37Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.96Connecticut College2.050.0%1st Place
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7.25Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.95Harvard University3.140.2%1st Place
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8.39Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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7.15Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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10.73Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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9.26Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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11.42Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.32Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
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10.13Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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14.68McGill University0.440.0%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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16.81Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Richards | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robert Hunter | 10.6% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 2.3% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Tucker Weed | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Henry Marshall | 15.5% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Housberg | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Collin Alexander | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 1.7% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Caroline King | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 2.7% |
| William O'Leary | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 3.1% |
| Rowan Byrne | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Livia Kelly | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 32.3% | 17.0% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Camille Britton | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 12.4% | 69.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.