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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.60+6.11vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University1.39+9.84vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+5.01vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.05+4.85vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.64+5.45vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.49+1.32vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.50+0.25vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.81-1.89vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39+2.59vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.05-0.70vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.09-2.04vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.40-4.05vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.14-8.05vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.20-5.86vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.44-0.44vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College1.76-5.79vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.82-0.05vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.37-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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11.84Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.01University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.85University of Vermont2.050.1%1st Place
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10.45Northeastern University1.640.0%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University2.490.1%1st Place
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7.25Brown University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.11Boston College2.810.1%1st Place
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11.59Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.3Connecticut College2.050.1%1st Place
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8.96Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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4.95Harvard University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.14Brown University2.200.1%1st Place
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14.56McGill University0.440.0%1st Place
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10.21Bowdoin College1.760.0%1st Place
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16.95Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.46Connecticut College1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Alexander | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 2.8% |
| Parker Colantuono | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Colin Richards | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Victoria Pajak | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 1.3% |
| Grant Gridley | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Weed | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Hunter | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline King | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 2.5% |
| Gordon Gurnell | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Talia Toland | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Marshall | 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Housberg | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Livia Kelly | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 13.1% | 30.7% | 16.6% |
| Rowan Byrne | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Camille Britton | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 11.6% | 72.2% |
| William O'Leary | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.