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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.20+7.51vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.29+6.11vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.50+4.30vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.65+9.69vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.46+2.28vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50+1.12vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.47+4.16vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.04-2.82vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.67+1.33vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.10+2.68vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.13-2.30vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.85-2.01vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.28-5.19vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.02-5.25vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.98-5.89vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.01-10.64vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.40-0.62vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.73-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.51Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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8.11Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.69Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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7.28Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Rhode Island1.470.0%1st Place
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5.18Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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10.33Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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12.68Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.81Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.75Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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9.11Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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5.36Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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16.38Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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13.56McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perham Black | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Bram Brakman | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Erin Coyne | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 21.6% | 14.5% |
| Walter Henry | 8.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jonas Nelle | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| jack Scott | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Jack Murphy | 14.9% | 14.0% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 7.1% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Alex Bowdler | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Jack DeNatale | 13.0% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Owen Moore | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 15.6% | 58.6% |
| Zach Zeelander | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 15.6% | 20.2% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.