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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.20+7.47vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.50+5.27vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.29+5.12vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.01+1.28vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.28+2.88vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.04-0.78vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.50+0.14vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.13+0.43vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.67+1.32vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.02-0.72vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.85-1.22vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.46-4.43vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.47-2.07vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.98-5.09vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.65-1.09vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.10-3.47vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.40-0.61vs Predicted
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18McGill University0.73-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.47Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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7.27Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.12Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.88Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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5.22Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.14Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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10.32Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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9.28Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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9.78Connecticut College1.850.1%1st Place
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7.57Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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10.93University of Rhode Island1.470.0%1st Place
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8.91Salve Regina University1.980.1%1st Place
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13.91Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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12.53Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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16.39Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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13.57McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perham Black | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Bram Brakman | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 13.8% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Harris Padegs | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Walter Henry | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| jack Scott | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 22.2% | 14.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 6.3% |
| Owen Moore | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 13.2% | 60.0% |
| Zach Zeelander | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.