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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+4.44vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.50+5.32vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.20+5.50vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+3.05vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.46+2.29vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.01-0.62vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.10+5.43vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.13+0.45vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.02-0.03vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.65+4.09vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.47+0.24vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.85-1.99vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.28-5.21vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.98-5.12vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.29-7.08vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.73-2.27vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.40-0.66vs Predicted
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18Yale University1.67-7.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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7.05Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.29Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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5.38Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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12.43Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.45University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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8.97Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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14.09Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Rhode Island1.470.0%1st Place
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10.01Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.79Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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8.88Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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13.73McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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16.34Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.15Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 12.8% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Wood | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Perham Black | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 12.9% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 6.4% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 24.6% | 15.5% |
| jack Scott | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Bram Brakman | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Zach Zeelander | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 12.3% |
| Owen Moore | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 15.3% | 58.5% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.