← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+4.67vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.57+9.66vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University4.05+0.53vs Predicted
-
4California State University Monterey Bay2.30+5.38vs Predicted
-
5California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.59vs Predicted
-
6University of Oregon2.51+2.54vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz1.99+3.41vs Predicted
-
8University of Hawaii2.92-1.16vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego2.19+0.54vs Predicted
-
10University of Southern California3.16-3.90vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis1.68+0.32vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75-0.89vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine2.83-5.82vs Predicted
-
14Northwestern University2.38-5.22vs Predicted
-
16Western Washington University2.02-5.69vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Los Angeles2.63-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.67University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
-
11.66University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
-
3.53Stanford University4.050.2%1st Place
-
9.38California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
-
7.59California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.54University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
-
10.41University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.0%1st Place
-
6.84University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
-
9.54University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
-
6.1University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
-
11.32University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
-
11.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
-
7.18University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
-
8.78Northwestern University2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.31Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
-
8.03University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Sullivan | 11.5% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Aubrey Toole | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 22.8% |
| Kevin Laube | 24.3% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Schoch | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Gregory Dair | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Philip Gordon | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Andrew Cowley | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% |
| Zachary Hester | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Lee | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 16.9% |
| Thomas Maher | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.7% | 17.7% |
| Jack Porter | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Bryan Rust | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 8.3% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.