← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.57+3.12vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida0.83+4.46vs Predicted
-
3University of Rhode Island0.12+5.35vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University-0.17+5.74vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18+3.52vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+0.87vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University-1.62+6.11vs Predicted
-
80.64-1.03vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University0.47-1.62vs Predicted
-
10Maine Maritime Academy-0.48+0.33vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University0.49-3.42vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College-1.05-0.08vs Predicted
-
13Stanford University1.00-7.38vs Predicted
-
14University of Hawaii0.47-6.78vs Predicted
-
15Brown University1.01-9.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.12Yale University1.5718.3%1st Place
-
6.46University of South Florida0.838.4%1st Place
-
8.35University of Rhode Island0.124.5%1st Place
-
9.74Northeastern University-0.173.1%1st Place
-
8.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.185.2%1st Place
-
6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.687.1%1st Place
-
13.11Princeton University-1.620.8%1st Place
-
6.970.646.9%1st Place
-
7.38George Washington University0.475.8%1st Place
-
10.33Maine Maritime Academy-0.482.6%1st Place
-
7.58Roger Williams University0.496.7%1st Place
-
11.92Connecticut College-1.051.2%1st Place
-
5.62Stanford University1.0011.8%1st Place
-
7.22University of Hawaii0.477.1%1st Place
-
5.8Brown University1.0110.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 18.3% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 6.8% |
| Meara Conley | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 2.7% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 17.8% | 50.5% |
| Lola Kohl | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Hayden Clary | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Simone Ford | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 9.0% |
| Katherine McGagh | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Viola Henry | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 13.2% | 24.5% | 23.4% |
| Ava Cornell | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Malia Johnson | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Sidney Moyer | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.