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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.04+4.39vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.20+6.51vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.02+6.25vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.46+3.13vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.01+0.29vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50+1.09vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College1.85+2.61vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.50-1.00vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.29-1.14vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.13-1.21vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.28-2.96vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.98-2.52vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.67-2.78vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.65-0.36vs Predicted
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15McGill University0.73-1.34vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.47-4.79vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.10-4.41vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.40-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.39Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.51Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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9.25Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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7.13Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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5.29Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.61Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.0Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.79University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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8.04Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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9.48Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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10.22Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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13.64Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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13.66McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Rhode Island1.470.0%1st Place
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12.59Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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16.23Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Murphy | 12.9% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Perham Black | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Walter Henry | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack DeNatale | 15.3% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Cameron Wood | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Bram Brakman | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 21.4% | 13.6% |
| Zach Zeelander | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 21.2% | 12.6% |
| jack Scott | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 7.1% |
| Owen Moore | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 17.0% | 57.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.