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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.50+6.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.04+3.33vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.47+8.41vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.20+4.20vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.01+0.31vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.46+1.31vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.98+2.13vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.13+0.41vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.29-1.18vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.50-2.66vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.85-1.22vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.67-1.36vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.28-5.15vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.10-1.87vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.65-1.11vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.73-2.27vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.02-7.85vs Predicted
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18Wesleyan University-0.40-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Roger Williams University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.33Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Rhode Island1.470.0%1st Place
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8.2Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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5.31Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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7.31Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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9.13Salve Regina University1.980.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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7.82Tufts University2.290.1%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.78Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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10.64Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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7.85Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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12.13Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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13.89Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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13.73McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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9.15Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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16.21Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Wood | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| jack Scott | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 3.2% |
| Perham Black | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Jack DeNatale | 14.6% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Henry | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Bowdler | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Bram Brakman | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 1.7% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 21.6% | 15.4% |
| Zach Zeelander | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 19.9% | 13.7% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Owen Moore | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 17.2% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.