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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+3.91vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.13+6.04vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College1.85+6.13vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+2.88vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.46+1.77vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.04-0.86vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.71-0.93vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.47+2.33vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.10+2.92vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.02-1.54vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.13-2.69vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.28-4.44vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.20-5.01vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.67-4.05vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.65-1.93vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.73-3.02vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.40-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.91Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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8.04University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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9.13Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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6.88Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.77Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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5.14Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.07Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.33University of Rhode Island1.470.0%1st Place
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11.92Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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8.46Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
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8.31Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.56Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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7.99Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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9.95Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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13.07Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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12.98McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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15.49Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 16.8% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Walter Henry | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jack Murphy | 12.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| jack Scott | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 2.1% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 6.4% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Riley Read | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Perham Black | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 1.1% |
| Erin Coyne | 0.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 22.8% | 14.5% |
| Zach Zeelander | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 13.6% |
| Owen Moore | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 15.5% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.