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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.01+3.93vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.04+2.89vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.13+5.11vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+2.79vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.47+5.35vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.13+2.33vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.67+2.80vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.71-2.07vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.20-0.95vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.85-0.96vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.46-3.89vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.02-3.51vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.28-5.31vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.65-0.75vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.24vs Predicted
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16McGill University0.73-3.01vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.40-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
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4.89Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.11Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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6.79Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Rhode Island1.470.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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9.8Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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5.93Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.05Bowdoin College2.200.0%1st Place
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9.04Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.11Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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8.49Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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7.69Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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13.25Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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11.76Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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12.99McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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15.5Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 16.4% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Murphy | 14.5% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| jack Scott | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Alex Fasolo | 11.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Perham Black | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Walter Henry | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 15.1% | 23.6% | 15.6% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 6.4% |
| Zach Zeelander | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 13.3% |
| Owen Moore | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 17.3% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.