← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.01+3.93vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.20+5.85vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont2.13+5.10vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.04+1.05vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.50+1.63vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College1.85+3.33vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.13+1.11vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.47+2.39vs Predicted
-
9Brown University2.28-1.27vs Predicted
-
10Salve Regina University1.10+1.72vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.71-4.79vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.02-3.50vs Predicted
-
13Wesleyan University-0.40+2.39vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.46-6.92vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University0.65-1.95vs Predicted
-
16McGill University0.73-2.96vs Predicted
-
17Yale University1.67-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.93Boston College3.010.2%1st Place
-
7.85Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
-
8.1University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
-
5.05Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
-
6.63Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
9.33Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
-
8.11Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
-
10.39University of Rhode Island1.470.0%1st Place
-
7.73Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
-
11.72Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
-
6.21Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
-
8.5Boston University2.020.0%1st Place
-
15.39Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
7.08Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
-
13.05Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
-
13.04McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
-
9.89Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack DeNatale | 16.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Perham Black | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Jack Murphy | 13.6% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Harris Padegs | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Riley Read | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| jack Scott | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 2.4% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 5.7% |
| Alex Fasolo | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Owen Moore | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 7.1% | 16.1% | 59.4% |
| Walter Henry | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Erin Coyne | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 22.1% | 15.0% |
| Zach Zeelander | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 20.1% | 13.3% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.