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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.20+6.64vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.13+6.02vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.13+5.09vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.47+6.55vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.01-0.02vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.73+7.11vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.02+1.53vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50-1.32vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.65+4.27vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.85-0.95vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.04-5.86vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.71-5.88vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.67-3.06vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.46-6.88vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.10-3.31vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.28-8.43vs Predicted
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17Wesleyan University-0.40-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.64Bowdoin College2.200.1%1st Place
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8.02Roger Williams University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.09University of Vermont2.130.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Rhode Island1.470.0%1st Place
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4.98Boston College3.010.1%1st Place
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13.11McGill University0.730.0%1st Place
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8.53Boston University2.020.1%1st Place
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6.68Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.27Northeastern University0.650.0%1st Place
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9.05Connecticut College1.850.0%1st Place
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5.14Brown University3.040.1%1st Place
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6.12Tufts University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.94Yale University1.670.0%1st Place
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7.12Connecticut College2.460.1%1st Place
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11.69Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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7.57Brown University2.280.1%1st Place
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15.52Wesleyan University-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perham Black | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Riley Read | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Lolly Vasilion | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| jack Scott | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% |
| Jack DeNatale | 14.4% | 14.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zach Zeelander | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 16.5% | 21.0% | 14.1% |
| Raymond Groble IV | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erin Coyne | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 15.2% | 23.9% | 14.4% |
| Harris Padegs | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Jack Murphy | 14.5% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Fasolo | 10.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Chaumont | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Walter Henry | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lucie Ford | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 6.1% |
| Blaire McCarthy | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Owen Moore | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 16.2% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.