Race 3A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Taylor Gavula 8.5% 9.0% 10.8% 9.4% 10.7% 8.3% 10.8% 9.7% 8.2% 7.2% 4.4% 2.4% 0.6%
Louisa Nordstrom 17.2% 16.1% 15.8% 14.0% 10.2% 8.3% 8.7% 4.0% 2.2% 1.8% 0.9% 0.8% 0.0%
Alie Toppa 18.7% 17.6% 13.0% 13.1% 11.0% 9.3% 6.7% 5.4% 3.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Delaney Bamford 6.1% 6.9% 8.0% 8.3% 8.0% 10.3% 8.7% 9.2% 11.6% 8.4% 7.1% 5.5% 1.9%
Hannah Steadman 16.6% 13.4% 14.6% 12.0% 10.6% 9.6% 8.7% 5.9% 3.4% 3.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0%
AnaLucia Clarkson 2.5% 2.6% 2.9% 3.7% 4.3% 3.9% 4.8% 8.9% 6.7% 10.9% 13.4% 17.7% 17.7%
Ainsley Parramore 1.7% 1.8% 2.4% 1.4% 3.4% 3.3% 3.5% 4.9% 5.2% 7.8% 10.1% 17.6% 36.9%
Marina Barzaghi 5.6% 5.9% 5.3% 7.5% 7.3% 8.7% 9.4% 10.2% 12.6% 10.0% 7.8% 7.2% 2.5%
Darden Purrington 2.7% 2.5% 3.5% 3.3% 3.8% 5.2% 4.9% 5.8% 8.5% 10.8% 14.3% 15.7% 19.0%
Emma Marston 4.1% 5.4% 4.2% 5.0% 7.5% 7.6% 7.2% 10.1% 9.4% 10.1% 12.6% 9.4% 7.4%
Dana Haig 9.2% 9.7% 10.9% 10.1% 10.1% 11.0% 9.7% 8.9% 7.1% 6.3% 4.2% 1.9% 0.9%
Abbie Carlson 2.6% 3.8% 4.1% 5.5% 6.0% 5.6% 7.2% 8.5% 10.4% 10.8% 12.4% 14.2% 8.9%
Grace Mooradian 4.5% 5.3% 4.5% 6.7% 7.1% 8.9% 9.7% 8.5% 11.5% 11.7% 10.8% 6.6% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.