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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Audrey Foley 18.4% 16.7% 14.5% 12.3% 10.2% 8.3% 6.2% 6.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophia Woodbury 7.3% 8.5% 7.9% 8.9% 7.0% 9.2% 8.6% 9.7% 8.6% 7.8% 6.6% 5.2% 2.5% 1.8% 0.4%
Hayden Clary 6.7% 7.2% 7.0% 7.1% 7.8% 7.2% 8.2% 8.7% 8.1% 9.6% 7.0% 6.4% 5.1% 2.9% 1.1%
Lola Kohl 7.7% 7.3% 8.3% 7.3% 7.7% 8.5% 8.8% 6.6% 9.2% 8.0% 6.8% 6.4% 4.9% 2.1% 0.4%
Ava Cornell 11.9% 10.5% 9.7% 10.8% 9.6% 9.3% 7.5% 7.8% 7.1% 5.5% 4.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
Ariana Schwartz 4.9% 5.5% 5.2% 6.0% 5.9% 7.0% 5.9% 7.2% 8.0% 8.8% 8.6% 9.3% 9.2% 5.9% 2.4%
Sylvia Burns 2.6% 3.1% 3.1% 3.9% 4.0% 4.2% 5.3% 5.5% 6.1% 7.5% 9.2% 10.9% 13.6% 14.1% 6.7%
Grace Jones 8.3% 8.8% 7.8% 8.6% 9.2% 8.7% 7.7% 8.2% 8.4% 7.5% 6.6% 5.2% 3.2% 1.7% 0.1%
Katherine McGagh 6.2% 5.1% 6.9% 6.8% 6.2% 7.0% 8.5% 8.5% 8.4% 8.2% 8.8% 8.6% 5.8% 3.8% 1.3%
Sidney Moyer 9.4% 10.8% 10.5% 9.8% 9.3% 9.3% 9.0% 6.5% 6.6% 5.9% 5.2% 3.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Viola Henry 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 1.7% 2.5% 1.7% 2.8% 2.9% 4.1% 4.4% 6.1% 7.4% 12.8% 23.9% 25.6%
Kate Feiner 0.8% 1.0% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 3.2% 3.9% 5.8% 8.6% 17.5% 48.9%
Malia Johnson 6.3% 6.6% 7.9% 6.8% 8.6% 7.0% 7.6% 7.4% 8.4% 7.9% 8.0% 7.9% 5.9% 3.2% 0.5%
Simone Ford 3.2% 2.1% 3.5% 3.3% 4.0% 4.5% 4.7% 5.1% 5.1% 5.8% 8.6% 10.3% 14.4% 15.4% 10.2%
Meara Conley 5.0% 5.1% 5.5% 5.5% 6.7% 6.9% 7.3% 7.8% 7.4% 7.3% 8.6% 8.9% 9.4% 6.0% 2.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.