← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.57+3.10vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+4.65vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University0.47+4.24vs Predicted
-
40.64+2.94vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University1.00+0.64vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island0.12+2.32vs Predicted
-
7Northeastern University-0.17+2.98vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida0.83-1.45vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University0.49-1.31vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.01-4.08vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College-1.05+1.03vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University-1.62+1.05vs Predicted
-
13University of Hawaii0.47-5.65vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-3.72vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-6.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.1Yale University1.5718.4%1st Place
-
6.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.687.3%1st Place
-
7.24George Washington University0.476.7%1st Place
-
6.940.647.7%1st Place
-
5.64Stanford University1.0011.9%1st Place
-
8.32University of Rhode Island0.124.9%1st Place
-
9.98Northeastern University-0.172.6%1st Place
-
6.55University of South Florida0.838.3%1st Place
-
7.69Roger Williams University0.496.2%1st Place
-
5.92Brown University1.019.4%1st Place
-
12.03Connecticut College-1.051.1%1st Place
-
13.05Princeton University-1.620.8%1st Place
-
7.35University of Hawaii0.476.3%1st Place
-
10.28Maine Maritime Academy-0.483.2%1st Place
-
8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.185.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 18.4% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Clary | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Lola Kohl | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Ava Cornell | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 6.7% |
| Grace Jones | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McGagh | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Sidney Moyer | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Viola Henry | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 23.9% | 25.6% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 17.5% | 48.9% |
| Malia Johnson | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Simone Ford | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 10.2% |
| Meara Conley | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.