Race 6A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Taylor Gavula 9.1% 9.2% 8.8% 11.2% 8.8% 10.8% 9.7% 9.8% 8.1% 7.2% 4.6% 2.1% 0.6%
Alie Toppa 17.7% 16.7% 15.8% 12.5% 11.7% 9.1% 6.6% 4.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Dana Haig 7.0% 10.2% 9.9% 8.9% 10.8% 11.3% 9.7% 9.6% 8.4% 6.1% 4.9% 2.2% 1.0%
Louisa Nordstrom 18.1% 15.6% 14.2% 11.7% 12.4% 8.6% 7.9% 5.2% 4.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2%
Delaney Bamford 7.7% 7.0% 8.4% 8.5% 7.5% 8.6% 9.8% 10.1% 11.1% 7.5% 7.1% 5.6% 1.1%
AnaLucia Clarkson 2.1% 3.0% 2.1% 3.7% 4.1% 3.4% 6.2% 7.5% 7.1% 11.5% 13.1% 18.8% 17.4%
Marina Barzaghi 6.1% 6.4% 7.4% 6.7% 7.5% 7.0% 8.6% 10.5% 9.9% 11.1% 9.3% 6.1% 3.4%
Hannah Steadman 15.8% 14.0% 13.2% 12.4% 13.4% 9.4% 8.7% 6.3% 3.2% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Abbie Carlson 3.6% 4.5% 4.0% 5.4% 4.6% 7.1% 6.4% 7.8% 10.2% 11.9% 13.8% 11.4% 9.3%
Grace Mooradian 6.2% 5.1% 6.2% 5.7% 7.7% 9.4% 9.5% 8.6% 9.8% 10.2% 10.0% 7.6% 4.0%
Emma Marston 3.9% 3.9% 5.6% 8.8% 5.6% 7.6% 7.9% 8.7% 11.3% 12.8% 9.2% 9.5% 5.2%
Darden Purrington 1.7% 2.9% 2.7% 3.2% 3.6% 5.6% 4.9% 7.0% 7.8% 8.5% 15.8% 18.0% 18.3%
Ainsley Parramore 1.0% 1.5% 1.7% 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 4.1% 4.7% 6.0% 8.5% 9.8% 17.6% 39.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.