Race 7A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Louisa Nordstrom 18.6% 14.8% 15.3% 12.3% 12.1% 8.8% 6.3% 5.0% 3.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Delaney Bamford 5.8% 7.3% 7.8% 7.9% 8.7% 9.8% 9.8% 10.6% 8.4% 9.9% 8.2% 3.7% 2.1%
Hannah Steadman 14.8% 15.0% 12.4% 13.5% 10.4% 10.6% 9.1% 4.8% 4.7% 2.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Alie Toppa 18.6% 15.5% 15.4% 13.1% 10.5% 9.0% 7.1% 4.6% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Ainsley Parramore 2.4% 1.7% 1.6% 2.4% 2.7% 2.3% 3.1% 5.5% 6.1% 8.4% 10.3% 17.5% 36.0%
Darden Purrington 2.5% 2.4% 3.6% 3.7% 3.5% 4.6% 6.4% 7.0% 8.3% 10.4% 13.7% 17.3% 16.6%
Marina Barzaghi 6.2% 6.4% 7.4% 6.6% 6.5% 8.0% 9.1% 11.1% 10.3% 9.7% 8.0% 8.0% 2.7%
AnaLucia Clarkson 1.8% 3.8% 2.7% 2.8% 3.9% 4.2% 5.9% 6.9% 8.1% 10.0% 15.2% 14.7% 20.0%
Emma Marston 4.8% 3.4% 4.8% 5.6% 6.7% 7.1% 7.5% 8.4% 10.5% 11.1% 10.9% 11.9% 7.3%
Dana Haig 9.0% 9.2% 8.6% 11.5% 10.1% 9.6% 9.6% 8.6% 7.8% 6.9% 4.2% 3.5% 1.4%
Taylor Gavula 8.1% 11.1% 10.7% 9.0% 11.6% 10.8% 10.2% 9.0% 7.1% 5.4% 4.7% 1.6% 0.7%
Abbie Carlson 2.8% 4.5% 3.6% 4.5% 5.6% 8.1% 6.3% 8.1% 11.2% 10.7% 11.8% 13.1% 9.7%
Grace Mooradian 4.6% 4.9% 6.1% 7.1% 7.7% 7.1% 9.6% 10.4% 10.2% 11.1% 10.2% 7.8% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.