Race 8A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dana Haig 8.7% 10.1% 9.0% 9.1% 10.0% 10.2% 9.8% 10.7% 7.4% 6.7% 4.9% 2.8% 0.6%
Alie Toppa 18.6% 17.2% 14.2% 14.0% 10.8% 8.7% 5.6% 5.3% 3.2% 1.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 4.2% 5.0% 7.6% 6.2% 7.7% 10.2% 9.0% 11.0% 10.1% 9.0% 9.5% 7.5% 3.0%
Taylor Gavula 8.8% 9.2% 8.8% 10.5% 10.6% 10.1% 9.7% 9.6% 8.1% 7.3% 4.5% 1.9% 0.9%
Grace Mooradian 6.2% 5.0% 6.6% 7.4% 8.0% 7.8% 8.4% 9.2% 11.5% 11.4% 8.5% 6.6% 3.4%
Delaney Bamford 6.9% 7.1% 8.2% 8.8% 8.7% 8.4% 11.3% 9.3% 9.0% 8.3% 7.4% 4.7% 1.9%
Louisa Nordstrom 18.9% 15.8% 14.0% 12.6% 10.2% 8.9% 8.1% 6.0% 3.0% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Hannah Steadman 14.9% 15.4% 13.3% 12.0% 11.1% 11.2% 8.8% 5.8% 3.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
AnaLucia Clarkson 2.2% 3.2% 2.8% 2.5% 5.0% 4.1% 4.2% 6.3% 8.0% 9.1% 15.2% 18.8% 18.6%
Darden Purrington 2.6% 2.5% 3.8% 3.7% 2.4% 5.5% 5.4% 7.2% 9.3% 9.7% 14.0% 15.1% 18.8%
Abbie Carlson 3.8% 3.3% 4.5% 6.3% 7.2% 6.0% 7.7% 8.8% 11.1% 12.0% 11.0% 10.4% 7.9%
Emma Marston 3.2% 4.8% 5.1% 5.3% 6.3% 6.6% 8.0% 7.2% 9.4% 13.9% 11.8% 11.7% 6.7%
Ainsley Parramore 1.0% 1.4% 2.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.3% 4.0% 3.6% 6.2% 7.8% 10.9% 19.0% 38.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.