Race 9A

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marina Barzaghi 4.8% 5.7% 6.4% 7.8% 8.8% 7.3% 7.9% 10.6% 11.8% 9.6% 9.5% 7.0% 2.8%
AnaLucia Clarkson 2.5% 2.7% 2.3% 3.8% 3.5% 5.8% 5.3% 5.0% 6.7% 13.3% 12.5% 18.1% 18.5%
Alie Toppa 17.8% 16.1% 14.8% 13.6% 12.3% 8.4% 5.7% 5.3% 3.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Darden Purrington 2.2% 2.2% 3.6% 2.8% 3.9% 5.2% 5.8% 6.8% 8.6% 9.9% 12.7% 18.2% 18.1%
Delaney Bamford 6.3% 7.4% 8.9% 8.3% 7.9% 8.6% 10.0% 9.1% 11.3% 9.3% 6.3% 4.6% 2.0%
Dana Haig 9.7% 9.1% 8.9% 11.0% 10.5% 9.9% 10.0% 9.3% 7.3% 6.1% 4.2% 3.1% 0.9%
Abbie Carlson 4.1% 4.5% 4.4% 4.3% 6.7% 6.2% 7.0% 8.1% 10.0% 12.5% 11.9% 11.4% 8.9%
Ainsley Parramore 1.3% 1.9% 2.4% 2.4% 2.4% 2.6% 3.3% 4.3% 6.0% 7.2% 12.1% 17.0% 37.1%
Taylor Gavula 9.7% 7.5% 9.9% 10.3% 8.4% 11.0% 10.3% 10.0% 9.1% 5.2% 4.3% 3.2% 1.1%
Emma Marston 4.7% 4.6% 4.6% 5.7% 5.6% 8.4% 8.3% 9.3% 9.3% 10.2% 12.7% 10.0% 6.6%
Hannah Steadman 16.3% 16.0% 14.7% 10.8% 11.9% 9.5% 7.7% 5.7% 3.6% 2.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Louisa Nordstrom 15.9% 17.3% 13.7% 12.8% 11.0% 9.4% 7.1% 5.9% 3.5% 2.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Grace Mooradian 4.7% 5.0% 5.4% 6.4% 7.1% 7.7% 11.6% 10.6% 9.3% 10.7% 11.1% 6.6% 3.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.