Race 2B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Christine Klingler 23.7% 22.1% 16.3% 12.7% 9.4% 5.6% 5.0% 2.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Kaneti 13.0% 12.6% 12.0% 13.2% 11.2% 10.4% 8.3% 7.1% 6.1% 2.4% 1.9% 1.7% 0.1%
Liza Toppa 6.5% 8.0% 9.2% 10.1% 9.0% 9.7% 11.2% 9.9% 9.0% 7.3% 5.3% 3.6% 1.2%
Charlotte Lenz 3.2% 3.3% 5.7% 4.5% 6.9% 7.6% 8.4% 8.3% 10.7% 9.3% 12.4% 12.3% 7.4%
Christina Nothacker 7.7% 6.4% 8.1% 7.4% 9.8% 9.2% 9.3% 10.2% 8.7% 10.2% 6.3% 4.7% 2.0%
Allison Cahn 5.0% 5.9% 5.9% 7.5% 8.2% 8.3% 8.3% 9.5% 12.2% 9.2% 8.4% 8.9% 2.7%
Sophie Hibben 18.2% 17.3% 14.0% 13.1% 11.8% 8.1% 6.7% 4.7% 3.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Rebecca Read 7.5% 8.1% 8.1% 8.9% 9.5% 10.5% 9.5% 10.4% 8.3% 8.4% 5.1% 4.6% 1.1%
Kathryn Bornarth 5.8% 5.8% 7.5% 6.7% 8.9% 8.7% 10.0% 10.5% 8.8% 9.6% 8.4% 5.9% 3.4%
Margaret MacCormack 3.2% 3.4% 3.9% 3.7% 4.5% 6.2% 7.5% 7.1% 8.8% 12.0% 13.0% 13.1% 13.6%
Meredith Julian 3.0% 2.8% 3.8% 5.9% 5.9% 6.9% 6.5% 9.2% 9.1% 12.2% 11.4% 13.3% 10.0%
Elizabeth Holiman 2.2% 3.2% 3.7% 4.5% 3.5% 6.9% 6.4% 7.6% 8.9% 9.8% 15.0% 16.1% 12.2%
Alexandra Wagner 1.0% 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 1.4% 1.9% 2.9% 3.2% 4.7% 6.8% 11.6% 15.6% 46.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.