Race 3A

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Robert Heath 14.6% 13.9% 13.5% 12.8% 15.2% 10.9% 9.7% 6.2% 2.9% 0.4%
Isabella Cho 12.3% 13.8% 13.5% 13.2% 13.5% 13.2% 9.9% 6.3% 4.0% 0.3%
Buck Rathbun 26.5% 23.2% 17.0% 14.5% 8.8% 5.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Sam Harris 15.7% 14.7% 16.1% 14.6% 13.4% 10.3% 8.5% 4.5% 2.1% 0.1%
Kevin McNeill 5.1% 6.5% 7.5% 8.6% 8.1% 11.9% 12.6% 18.1% 17.8% 4.0%
Toby Clarkson 10.0% 10.8% 12.4% 12.7% 12.7% 13.0% 12.1% 10.2% 5.5% 0.6%
Curtis Mallory 5.6% 7.0% 7.4% 8.8% 11.0% 12.7% 16.8% 15.9% 11.9% 2.9%
Marshall Rodes 2.8% 3.7% 4.0% 4.3% 6.2% 7.0% 10.1% 16.3% 34.1% 11.7%
Jordynn Johnson 6.5% 5.9% 7.6% 9.7% 9.8% 13.5% 15.0% 17.5% 12.4% 2.1%
Colin Kenny 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.6% 2.4% 4.0% 9.0% 78.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.