Race 12A

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Elizabeth Barry 11.1% 11.3% 13.8% 11.7% 9.7% 10.2% 8.4% 6.9% 6.5% 2.9% 3.9% 1.8% 1.4% 0.4%
Billy Hines 2.1% 3.7% 4.1% 4.0% 4.1% 5.2% 6.0% 6.6% 6.7% 8.1% 11.3% 11.2% 13.5% 13.4%
Samuel Ingham 26.3% 20.3% 15.9% 12.6% 10.1% 5.1% 4.7% 2.9% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Quentin Chafee 4.4% 6.3% 7.5% 6.9% 8.4% 7.3% 8.9% 10.0% 8.2% 8.7% 8.4% 7.0% 5.3% 2.7%
Reeve Dunne 3.0% 2.1% 3.9% 4.3% 4.7% 6.2% 5.7% 7.5% 7.1% 8.4% 9.8% 10.9% 13.9% 12.5%
Christopher Poole 4.1% 4.2% 4.1% 5.7% 5.2% 7.1% 7.5% 9.6% 8.7% 10.5% 9.8% 8.8% 8.1% 6.6%
Ben Greenfield 16.4% 15.0% 13.6% 13.2% 9.9% 11.1% 6.7% 5.0% 4.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Christian Manchester 10.6% 12.9% 10.3% 10.8% 12.7% 9.5% 7.5% 7.6% 5.9% 4.8% 3.8% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%
Andrew Kurzrok 4.5% 3.7% 4.1% 4.5% 5.1% 6.8% 6.9% 9.1% 9.6% 11.1% 8.8% 10.9% 8.1% 6.8%
Peter Giuliano 3.1% 3.2% 3.6% 3.9% 5.1% 7.4% 7.7% 7.2% 9.0% 9.7% 7.8% 12.0% 11.3% 9.0%
Graham Philpot 1.3% 1.9% 1.7% 2.6% 2.7% 2.4% 4.8% 4.4% 4.9% 6.5% 8.3% 10.7% 15.9% 31.9%
Matthew Schon 6.2% 7.1% 7.1% 9.2% 8.8% 10.0% 9.8% 8.4% 9.2% 7.5% 5.8% 5.0% 3.7% 2.2%
Conor Lodge 4.1% 4.8% 5.9% 5.0% 6.5% 6.3% 9.2% 7.5% 10.9% 8.9% 9.2% 8.7% 7.6% 5.4%
Will Pelleteri 2.8% 3.5% 4.4% 5.6% 7.0% 5.4% 6.2% 7.3% 8.2% 9.4% 11.8% 10.0% 9.9% 8.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.