← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Oregon2.51+7.02vs Predicted
-
2California State University Channel Islands2.77+5.14vs Predicted
-
3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75+7.97vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+1.63vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University3.50-0.20vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego2.19+3.47vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles2.63+0.84vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Irvine2.83-1.14vs Predicted
-
9University of Southern California2.57-1.11vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii2.92-3.28vs Predicted
-
11California State University Monterey Bay2.30-2.04vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz1.99-1.92vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Berkeley1.57-1.45vs Predicted
-
15Northwestern University2.38-6.46vs Predicted
-
16Western Washington University2.02-5.82vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Davis1.68-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.02University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
-
7.14California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
-
10.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
-
5.63University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
-
4.8Stanford University3.500.2%1st Place
-
9.47University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
-
7.84University of California at Los Angeles2.630.1%1st Place
-
6.86University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
-
7.89University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
-
6.72University of Hawaii2.920.1%1st Place
-
8.96California State University Monterey Bay2.300.1%1st Place
-
10.08University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.0%1st Place
-
11.55University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
-
8.54Northwestern University2.380.1%1st Place
-
10.18Western Washington University2.020.0%1st Place
-
11.34University of California at Davis1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philip Gordon | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Gregory Dair | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Maher | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 13.5% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 11.3% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nick Dugdale | 16.4% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Jack Porter | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% |
| Zachary Hester | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Bradley Schoch | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Andrew Cowley | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% |
| Aubrey Toole | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 20.9% |
| Geoff Pedrick | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 8.7% |
| Ryan Lee | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 18.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.