← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University1.57+3.16vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University-0.17+7.59vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.01+2.93vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+2.78vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University1.00+0.79vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University0.47+1.09vs Predicted
-
70.64-0.01vs Predicted
-
8Maine Maritime Academy-0.48+2.50vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University0.49-1.32vs Predicted
-
10University of Hawaii0.47-2.90vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College-1.05+0.96vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island0.12-3.50vs Predicted
-
13University of South Florida0.83-6.51vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-5.70vs Predicted
-
15Princeton University-1.62-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.16Yale University1.5718.6%1st Place
-
9.59Northeastern University-0.173.7%1st Place
-
5.93Brown University1.019.6%1st Place
-
6.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.687.2%1st Place
-
5.79Stanford University1.0010.8%1st Place
-
7.09George Washington University0.478.1%1st Place
-
6.990.646.8%1st Place
-
10.5Maine Maritime Academy-0.482.3%1st Place
-
7.68Roger Williams University0.495.6%1st Place
-
7.1University of Hawaii0.477.0%1st Place
-
11.96Connecticut College-1.051.2%1st Place
-
8.5University of Rhode Island0.124.8%1st Place
-
6.49University of South Florida0.838.6%1st Place
-
8.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.185.0%1st Place
-
13.13Princeton University-1.620.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Audrey Foley | 18.6% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 6.5% |
| Sidney Moyer | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ava Cornell | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Clary | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Lola Kohl | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Simone Ford | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 9.8% |
| Katherine McGagh | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Malia Johnson | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Viola Henry | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 12.4% | 24.3% | 24.9% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Grace Jones | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Meara Conley | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 49.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.