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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.15+4.50vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.69+1.93vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.52+4.23vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.79+2.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-2.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.76+0.40vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida1.94-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.28-0.10vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.02-3.29vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.11-1.85vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.21-5.67vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.35-1.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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6.5University of Rhode Island2.150.1%1st Place
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4.93Harvard University2.690.1%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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7.31Boston University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.3Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.760.1%1st Place
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6.98University of South Florida1.940.1%1st Place
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8.9University of Vermont1.280.0%1st Place
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.020.1%1st Place
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9.15Eckerd College1.110.0%1st Place
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6.33College of Charleston2.210.1%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College0.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 17.2% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Read | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Emma Kaneti | 10.9% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.7% |
| Allison Cahn | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 24.0% | 22.3% | 16.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lulu Russell | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 3.5% |
| Kathryn Bornarth | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Elizabeth Holiman | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 12.5% |
| Christina Nothacker | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Carla Szeplaki | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 14.2% |
| Liza Toppa | 7.6% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Alexandra Wagner | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 9.1% | 15.8% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.