Race 6B

stu-nelson

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emma Kaneti 12.9% 11.4% 12.2% 13.5% 10.8% 10.6% 8.0% 6.9% 5.8% 4.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3%
Rebecca Read 6.9% 7.2% 7.7% 9.5% 10.1% 9.3% 8.8% 11.4% 7.9% 9.0% 6.5% 4.8% 0.9%
Allison Cahn 4.2% 4.2% 5.8% 8.3% 8.2% 7.4% 9.5% 8.9% 10.6% 10.3% 9.8% 9.5% 3.3%
Sophie Hibben 16.6% 15.7% 16.1% 14.0% 10.9% 7.3% 7.8% 6.0% 2.7% 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Lulu Russell 5.7% 6.1% 4.7% 8.1% 6.6% 8.7% 8.3% 8.9% 10.4% 10.0% 10.2% 8.0% 4.3%
Christine Klingler 24.3% 22.4% 16.3% 10.0% 9.9% 6.9% 5.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Liza Toppa 8.6% 8.8% 8.1% 8.3% 9.9% 11.1% 10.5% 8.6% 7.3% 7.7% 6.2% 3.7% 1.2%
Christina Nothacker 5.4% 7.5% 7.7% 7.4% 7.8% 10.3% 10.3% 10.8% 8.7% 8.9% 7.6% 5.7% 1.9%
Charlotte Lenz 3.6% 4.6% 4.8% 3.9% 6.7% 6.1% 8.0% 8.1% 10.4% 11.1% 11.6% 13.0% 8.1%
Carla Szeplaki 3.3% 2.9% 3.0% 3.9% 3.4% 4.7% 6.5% 6.1% 8.8% 9.1% 14.2% 17.3% 16.8%
Elizabeth Holiman 2.5% 2.9% 4.9% 4.5% 5.9% 6.0% 6.2% 7.9% 11.0% 11.2% 11.8% 14.4% 10.8%
Kathryn Bornarth 5.1% 5.1% 7.7% 7.0% 7.4% 9.6% 8.1% 10.5% 10.0% 10.9% 9.0% 6.7% 2.9%
Alexandra Wagner 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 2.0% 2.9% 3.4% 4.9% 5.2% 10.0% 15.2% 49.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.