Race 7B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sophie Hibben 17.8% 14.4% 17.2% 12.4% 9.9% 9.0% 8.0% 4.6% 3.7% 2.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.1%
Christine Klingler 24.4% 21.0% 15.8% 13.0% 9.4% 7.0% 4.5% 2.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Charlotte Lenz 3.2% 3.2% 3.9% 6.1% 5.6% 8.0% 7.2% 8.5% 9.9% 11.7% 13.7% 10.5% 8.5%
Christina Nothacker 5.6% 6.9% 7.3% 7.6% 9.7% 8.0% 10.4% 9.5% 9.7% 8.9% 8.3% 5.4% 2.7%
Emma Kaneti 12.8% 13.1% 14.1% 11.0% 9.4% 10.6% 7.8% 9.0% 4.9% 3.3% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3%
Alexandra Wagner 0.6% 1.8% 1.4% 1.5% 3.7% 1.7% 2.3% 3.9% 5.3% 7.1% 8.9% 15.4% 46.4%
Elizabeth Holiman 3.9% 4.1% 3.2% 5.1% 4.5% 5.8% 6.1% 6.9% 7.3% 10.0% 14.6% 15.9% 12.6%
Liza Toppa 8.0% 8.0% 8.3% 8.8% 9.2% 10.4% 10.3% 12.2% 7.6% 8.2% 4.8% 2.8% 1.4%
Allison Cahn 5.3% 4.9% 5.0% 6.7% 7.4% 7.6% 10.1% 8.8% 10.1% 11.0% 8.9% 9.2% 5.0%
Rebecca Read 7.8% 7.2% 7.5% 9.2% 10.0% 10.1% 8.0% 9.0% 10.2% 7.1% 6.6% 5.5% 1.8%
Kathryn Bornarth 5.1% 6.9% 7.4% 8.6% 7.7% 9.3% 10.9% 9.4% 10.9% 7.8% 7.0% 6.1% 2.9%
Lulu Russell 3.8% 5.3% 5.3% 6.0% 8.5% 7.2% 7.8% 9.6% 9.7% 11.2% 11.3% 9.8% 4.5%
Margaret MacCormack 1.7% 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 5.0% 5.3% 6.6% 6.4% 9.4% 10.9% 11.9% 18.2% 13.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.