Race 8B

stu-nelson

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Sophie Hibben 17.3% 15.2% 16.6% 12.4% 10.0% 8.9% 8.6% 4.9% 3.2% 1.5% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Rebecca Read 7.3% 6.4% 8.9% 7.6% 10.9% 11.0% 9.4% 8.4% 9.6% 7.9% 6.4% 4.5% 1.7%
Allison Cahn 3.3% 4.8% 7.2% 7.1% 7.6% 7.8% 7.5% 8.7% 13.1% 10.2% 10.4% 8.9% 3.4%
Christina Nothacker 5.9% 7.2% 6.1% 8.0% 9.6% 8.7% 8.6% 11.7% 9.0% 8.0% 9.6% 5.6% 2.0%
Liza Toppa 8.6% 8.3% 9.2% 9.2% 8.8% 10.1% 9.0% 11.2% 8.1% 7.9% 4.8% 4.2% 0.6%
Charlotte Lenz 3.8% 4.3% 5.0% 4.1% 7.2% 7.0% 7.2% 8.3% 11.0% 10.3% 12.6% 11.8% 7.4%
Christine Klingler 25.3% 21.9% 14.5% 11.7% 9.3% 7.7% 4.1% 2.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Emma Kaneti 12.1% 13.1% 11.8% 12.9% 10.3% 9.9% 11.3% 7.8% 4.0% 3.3% 1.8% 1.4% 0.3%
Lulu Russell 4.9% 5.5% 4.6% 7.0% 7.0% 7.5% 8.9% 9.1% 9.5% 11.5% 9.9% 8.5% 6.1%
Alexandra Wagner 1.0% 1.0% 2.4% 1.8% 2.2% 2.6% 3.0% 2.9% 4.6% 7.0% 7.1% 16.7% 47.7%
Kathryn Bornarth 5.7% 6.6% 7.2% 9.5% 7.8% 8.3% 8.7% 12.0% 8.3% 9.9% 8.7% 4.6% 2.7%
Margaret MacCormack 2.6% 2.8% 3.4% 4.0% 4.2% 5.9% 7.1% 4.9% 9.1% 9.1% 15.7% 17.0% 14.2%
Elizabeth Holiman 2.2% 2.9% 3.1% 4.7% 5.1% 4.6% 6.6% 7.3% 8.9% 12.6% 11.9% 16.2% 13.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.