← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1McGill University1.20+0.60vs Predicted
-
2Middlebury College1.26-0.45vs Predicted
-
3Middlebury College-1.75+0.31vs Predicted
-
4Amherst College-3.92+0.70vs Predicted
-
5Williams College-2.51-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.6McGill University1.200.5%1st Place
-
1.55Middlebury College1.260.5%1st Place
-
3.31Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
-
4.7Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
-
3.84Williams College-2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Ripple | 46.7% | 47.0% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 49.9% | 45.3% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nick Jaczko | 2.5% | 5.2% | 56.7% | 30.3% | 5.3% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.0% | 0.5% | 6.7% | 15.1% | 77.7% |
| Jamie Vaccaro | 0.9% | 2.0% | 26.5% | 53.6% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.