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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.26+0.55vs Predicted
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2McGill University1.20-0.41vs Predicted
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3Amherst College-3.92+1.70vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.75-0.67vs Predicted
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5Williams College-2.51-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.55Middlebury College1.260.5%1st Place
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1.59McGill University1.200.5%1st Place
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4.7Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
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3.33Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.82Williams College-2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Baskin | 49.8% | 45.1% | 4.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Ripple | 46.8% | 47.8% | 4.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.4% | 0.3% | 6.1% | 15.0% | 78.2% |
| Nick Jaczko | 2.0% | 4.6% | 57.2% | 30.8% | 5.4% |
| Jamie Vaccaro | 1.0% | 2.2% | 26.9% | 53.5% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.