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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.01+5.07vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University-0.17+7.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.57+1.17vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.68+2.69vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.49+2.59vs Predicted
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60.64+0.90vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College-1.05+5.01vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.47-0.65vs Predicted
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9Stanford University1.00-3.42vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.18-1.87vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.12-2.45vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.83-5.45vs Predicted
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13George Washington University0.47-5.85vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-1.62-0.95vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Brown University1.019.8%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University-0.172.6%1st Place
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4.17Yale University1.5717.6%1st Place
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6.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.687.2%1st Place
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7.59Roger Williams University0.497.2%1st Place
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6.90.647.8%1st Place
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12.01Connecticut College-1.051.4%1st Place
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7.35University of Hawaii0.475.7%1st Place
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5.58Stanford University1.0011.3%1st Place
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8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.185.7%1st Place
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8.55University of Rhode Island0.124.4%1st Place
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6.55University of South Florida0.839.2%1st Place
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7.15George Washington University0.476.8%1st Place
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13.05Princeton University-1.620.8%1st Place
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10.38Maine Maritime Academy-0.482.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sidney Moyer | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 6.8% |
| Audrey Foley | 17.6% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Katherine McGagh | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Lola Kohl | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Viola Henry | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 23.1% | 25.6% |
| Malia Johnson | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ava Cornell | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Meara Conley | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Grace Jones | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Hayden Clary | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Kate Feiner | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 17.8% | 49.4% |
| Simone Ford | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.