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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.26+0.56vs Predicted
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2McGill University1.20-0.41vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.75+0.32vs Predicted
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4Williams College-2.51-0.16vs Predicted
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5Amherst College-3.92-0.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56Middlebury College1.260.5%1st Place
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1.59McGill University1.200.5%1st Place
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3.32Middlebury College-1.750.0%1st Place
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3.84Williams College-2.510.0%1st Place
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4.69Amherst College-3.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Baskin | 50.0% | 44.7% | 5.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexa Ripple | 46.7% | 48.1% | 4.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Jaczko | 2.3% | 4.9% | 56.4% | 31.2% | 5.2% |
| Jamie Vaccaro | 0.8% | 1.9% | 27.8% | 51.2% | 18.3% |
| McLean Cozine | 0.2% | 0.4% | 5.8% | 17.1% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.