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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+1.96vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.17+4.67vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan2.03-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.84vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.36+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.26-1.89vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.14-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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6.67Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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2.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
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3.75University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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3.16University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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6.35Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
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5.11University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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5.17Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 23.2% | 23.5% | 18.3% | 14.9% | 11.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Christina Black | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 24.6% | 45.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 25.8% | 22.0% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jenna Probst | 14.1% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 16.2% | 13.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Lenox Butcher | 20.3% | 21.0% | 18.0% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Margot Murray | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 16.5% | 27.2% | 32.5% |
| Erin Sullivan | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 17.3% | 20.7% | 19.1% | 9.4% |
| Lera Anders | 5.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 22.1% | 18.0% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.