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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan2.03+2.67vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.50+1.04vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.43-0.87vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.26+0.08vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.17+0.63vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.14-1.70vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.36-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.67University of Michigan2.030.1%1st Place
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3.04Cornell University2.500.2%1st Place
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2.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.3%1st Place
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3.13University of Pennsylvania2.430.2%1st Place
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5.08University of Wisconsin1.260.1%1st Place
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6.63Queen's University0.170.0%1st Place
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5.3Tufts University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.34Northwestern University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jenna Probst | 14.3% | 16.8% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 10.5% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Daisy Holthus | 21.7% | 21.8% | 18.8% | 18.0% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Bailey Carter | 27.1% | 21.5% | 20.4% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 21.1% | 20.2% | 18.5% | 18.2% | 13.1% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Erin Sullivan | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 16.3% | 22.2% | 18.3% | 8.1% |
| Christina Black | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 14.9% | 21.8% | 43.6% |
| Lera Anders | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 13.8% |
| Margot Murray | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 16.4% | 28.0% | 31.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.